Greetings Me Droogs N Droogettes!
Lots of ‘things’ going out there in the world… too much happening. To the point that there’s so much spin out there that even -I’m- getting Dizzy AF. A ‘Proper Analysis’ is just going by the wayside in favor of the usual Propaganda from “the Usual Suspects” i.e. The Ministries of Lies and (of course) Propaganda to the point the no one seems to know what’s REALLY going on at any given point.
I mean we know know for certain that there’s always been a ‘certain amount of bullshit’ out there. The JFK shewtin’, The MLK shewtin’, UFOs, MK-Ultra and a shitload from the column marked ‘other’ have always been the subject of Obfuscation by the Powers That Be or whatever the ‘name/flavor of the week’ that “they” keep being referred to. “Knowledge is Power” and by keeping the truth away from folks, that in particular keeps the “POWER” in the hands of a certain select few, namely the aforementioned Powers That Be.
Truth of the matter is, ‘They’ like it that way, and the majority of ‘normies’ out there like it that way too, as in many instances “Ignorance is Bliss”. Hell, even me, myself, and I enjoy a certain amount of ignorance on some subjects… in particular lately having seen Twinkie-the-Kid getting assblasted in the Hearing Room? File that under ‘things I wish I’d really not looked at’…
Now, having said that, there are some subjects that’ve become come up as of late. Some of which that are Incontrovertible Facts that while unpleasant, well, truthfully a fact doesn’t care… it just is.
One of them is that the MAJORITY of the West, the West being defined as NATO and the US/GAE, is almost completely out of ammunition due to the gross expenditures in the Krain over the past two years of ‘teh stoopid.’ And owing to the greed, lack of foresight, and general malaise that Leviathan allowed to happen, there’s damned near no way in hell to replace nor produce the amount of ammunition that’s needed now for what has become a two-front war, meaning the Krain and the ¡Genociding! of the Palestinians by the Israelis.
It’s so bad that 20,000 shells earmarked for Krainfeld and his Koterie of Kocaine Snorting Klowns were re-routed to the IDF to assist in the wonton slaughter of lil kids and women. Can’t have them running out of ammo before they finish the job donchaknow?
Now… a BIG part of the reason for the lack of manufacturing capacity is besides the downsizing, offshoring and selling off the mechanisms and means of production (the tooling, presses and whatnot) there’s a relatively unmentioned issue about the ability to expand the production at the preexisting facilities. That being that the arsenals themselves?
Well according to a paper done by 1st LT (of the Turkish DotMil no less!) “Optimizing the Capacity and Operation of US Army Ammunition Production Facilities” written back in 2002, (link HERE) there are currently 16 Arsenals in the US that provide ALL of the primary manufacturing for the DotMil Kaboomie-Boom.
The names and production are in figure 2:
Now, the acronyms above for ‘Management’ of the Plants:
GOCO: Government Owned Contractor Operated
GOGO: Government Owned Government Operated
then, under ‘Mission’
LAP: Load Assemble and Pack (meaning where all the ‘stuff’ gets put together for shipment to the various locations, like the Krain and/or storage stateside.
Per an extract from the paper: “In summary, of the 16 facilities under review (See Table 2), two are GOGO “hard iron” arsenals that manufacture ordnance items, three are GOGO AAPs, and 11 are GOCO AAPs.” (AAP = Army Ammunition Plant(s)
The paper is TBH fascinating. A great breakdown of how even back in 2002, a Turk LT was pointing out how fucked up the situation was then vis-à-vis ammunition and production for the GAE. Lots of good info in there, but I’ll leave it for you to go over it if you want…
Sorry, tangent… anyways, back to the point:
One point NOT mentioned but I’ve seen in a few places is the age of a LOT, in fact almost ALL of our Arsenals.
Just as an Example? Our Oldest? That’s Watervliet Arsenal where we have like the only arsenal that makes High-Caliber Cannon barrels? It started in 1813. That’s 210 years ago. And for that reason, there’s a problem. A HUGE number of the buildings and whatnot on the facility itself are on the National Historic Register which means they’re (theoretically) INVIOLATE.
Yeah yeah, I know, ‘true emergency’ and all that, but if there’s one thing we know is that once something like that happens, it takes an Act of God to reverse it… which means the majority of our Arsenals, while yes, they can keep doing what they’re doing, at the same rate that they’ve always been doing it (too slow for todays lesson) but it means that they’re never going to be able to ramp up for all the Wars that Leviathan seems to be salivating over/provoking.
And building entirely new facilities?
Who’s going to ‘front’ the ducats for that? I mean the majority of companies out there are hesitant AF to build for-sure profitable ‘stuff’ however, the “amount invested versus time to become profitable” means most companies won’t risk the $$$. Add on also, that depending on the opponent and type of war initiated, whomever builds this sort of business has to know that eventually, it’ll be a target. Be it of terrorism or flat-out bombing/nuke/NBC or what have you… the “Bad Guys” sure as hell don’t want their opponents to be able to make the means to blow them up.
Just like Rheinmetall talking about building a Tank Manufacturing plant in the Krain… Yeeeeeeeah… best of luck there Herman… Ivan’ll blow that fucking place to pieces-parts no matter -who- it theoretically built it/owns it… We blew the ever-loving shit out of Germany, the Ruhr River Valley in particular to cripple the German War Manufacturing capacity.
So, the Logistics and Expense make it Prohibitive for us to realistically build new Kaboomie-Boom Manufacturing Plants. No one seems to want to invest in it, which is a huge thing, nevr mind that IF they were to actually build a new plant?
Who are they going to get to work there?
Skilled machinists and guys who work at places like that for the most part have aged the fuck out. Wirecutter used to work at one of the plants back in the day… guys like Phil are also in the “Fuck you, going fishing” part of their careers… in fact the majority of High Schools no longer even offer a shop class which is where a lot of the mechanically inclined kids got their introduction to that sort of work… Hell, even me, I’m now 54. Ain’t no fucking way no fucking how am I willing to start working in some Arsenal, despite having some ability to run a lathe… badly mind you, but I -do- know how, which the majority of kids now have zero fucking clue as to what a Lathe IS never mind how to run one.
The logisitics to do -any- of these plans at this point? Not seeing it coming to fruition anytime soon. Which then brings me to another thing I saw the other day. Now, this’s a bit long, but RTWT:
Now, as you scroll down, he point out something:
And right there, that’s the crux of the matter
The Navy, since October has been shooting down, almost on the daily Houthi cruise missiles, drones and what have you. Simplicius put a few fantastic charts of what seems to have been ‘shakin’ in the Area of Operations as of late, one being the ships in the Area, as well as the state of affairs regarding actions taken on the defense.
This pic here shows about three weeks worth of incidents, from November 27th, to December 15th:
The next one shows the current (approximate) number of boats (to include Chinese) operating in the area since December 17th:
According to this, there’s only 4 DDG Arleigh Burke class ships in the area. One the aforementioned Carney, the other three being the Mason, Gravely and Stethem. That means that in total, there’s 360 Vertically Launched SM-2 missiles available…
Leastways there was 360 available.
And even tougher? According to Sal (the Twitter Dood who’s poast I have above) He states “…the ability to reload VLS cells, the nature of the tubes require the ships to be in calm water at anchor or pierside and it is time consuming. As of yet, no method has been developed to reload VLS at sea.” as there’s no other way to do it available.
Used to be that they had a ship called a destroyer tender that could do the job, but as Sal also states in the thread:
Is there anything that our DotGov and DotMil haven’t fucked up in the past 30+ years!?! I suppose “Not having gotten us nuked by someone who’s pissed off at us” –might– count on the plus side, but judging from past actions, both in the WAAAAY past and even current past, I’d chalk that up to “Dumb Fucking Luck” at this point.
Now, I know I’ve been going a while here, and yeah, I made the point that we appear to be well on our way to “one serious incident away” from a major war due to our own inability to have prepared due to our “Lords and Masters” avarice and shortsightedness. Thing of it is the ‘how’ and ‘when’ of it.
My own theory is that there is a plan.
Lots of folks have been plainly wondering just why the other Arab nations haven’t joined in the ‘fun and games’ in defending the Palestinians. The ¡Genociding Games! have been rolling full speed for a while now, and yet even Hezbollah, the Lunatic Lebanese Based Fringe of the Fuzzy-Wuzzy Cult of Kaboom hasn’t really started any shit yet. My thought are that there is one, and we’re actively seeing it unfold now.
The trick is the same play that Putin has been doing in the Krain. He set his guys up via tactical retreats to Hard Points and Defensive Belts that had the Krainians literally smashing themselves up on for the past 8-10 months, without any sort of real gains. The Krainaians despite ALL the Ministry of Propaganda and Lies best attempts to tell the Opposite a’la BizzarroWorld, have been smashing themselves retarded in minefields, firebags and generally losing a lot more than they’re taking. Even the Washington Post has been questioning the intelligence of them beating their metaphoric heads against the wall bloody without any meaningful gains.
In the case here?
OK… lets say the plan is to have the Houthis, as disorganized and well, pathetically small ‘Militia’ as they are, they’ve been supplied very well by the Iranians for their ongoing fight with the Saudis. The very fact that the Saudis, even with alllll the whizz-bang neet-o US supplied Tanks, Gadgets and Wunderwaffen haven’t been able to crush them (the Houthi) in a conflict that dates back to 2015.
So these jokers start by launching allll sorts of shit towards Israel. This in turn has /ourguys, specifically the Navy, start shooting down all that gear. They keep doing it until
No more ‘bullets’
Now, taken to an extreme, can you imagine what happens when the Navy is now incapable of stopping any cruise missiles or drones no matter who fires them or where they’re fired from?
Lets say for fantasy league here that Iran, now knowing that the Navy ain’t got shit to use, decides that it can start by lighting up one of the Carriers that’s floating around in the Gulf… say the Eisenhower… while at the same time, Hezbollah goes ‘heavy’ in from the North, and the Egyptians say “Fuck It!” and roll in from the South…
It’ll go from “Dumb” to “Stupid” in a few seconds.
Considering how feckless and dumb our current group running the show with the Puppet known as The Pretender to the Glorious and Harmonious P&PBUH (Plus 10%) Orifice of The (p)Resident, The Dementor-in-Chief, Emperor Poopypants the First, Chief Executive of the Kidsmeller Pursuivant, Good Ole Slo Xi-Den, I’d say the odds would be 50-50 that we’d cut and run, rather than get fully engaged, as we don’t have anything to engage them with at this point.
Hell, the icing on the cake and the reason I think there might be a slim possibility that this’ll happen is that the ‘signaling’ coming from ole Poopypants has been less-than-supportive of the current ¡Genocidal Jews! killing anything and anyone that moves in Gaza. Them brazenly shooting the Catholic mother and daughter seeking shelter at that Monastery was a corpse too far for a lot of people…
We’ll have to see.
Thoughts in the comments?